IMPACT OF EXTERNAL TRADE ON NIGERIA’S ECONOMIC GROWTH (1980-2012)
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ABSTRACT
This study empirically examined the impact of external trade on economic growth of Nigeria between the period 1980-2012. In carrying out this project, linear multiple regression analysis techniques was used in assessing various components of foreign trade. Data used in this study were extracted from CBN statistical bulletin, 2011 edition; secondary data for the period 1980 to 2012 was used for the study. The regression analysis was carried out using E-views statistical tool. From the analysis the results shows that export, exchange rate, foreign direct investment are positively related while import is negatively related to output (proxy by GDP) of Nigeria and the Adjusted R2 is 0.96 for the period of 1980-2012. This study has examined the performance of foreign trade in relations to economic growth in Nigeria. It is therefore concluded that, conscious efforts should be made by government to fine-tune the various macroeconomic variables in order to provide an enabling environment to stimulate foreign trade by engaging in more of export trade and in effect curtail on import trade which has a negative effect or strain the economy. Also government should encourage export diversification.
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